What drives the change in 2025?

What drives the change in 2025?


We discussed the difference between gold and bitcoin at the beginning of this year. Much has changed since then!

The first weeks of President Donald Trump’s second administration have produced a remarkable divergence in the performance of two assets, often compared by investors seeking alternatives to traditional Fiat currency. While Gold has continued its constant increase to new high times, Bitcoin has experienced a significant correction from his January top and challenged the narrative that Cryptocurrencies would consistently surpass noble metals in times of financial uncertainty.

Gold’s resilient performance

Gold showed remarkable strength in early 2025 and appreciated with approx. 8% since President Trump’s inauguration on January 20th. This upward trend continues that gold achieves more new heights all the time throughout March 2025.

This performance reinforces Gold’s sustained status as a reliable value store, especially in geopolitical and economic periods of uncertainty. Precious Metal’s positive momentum contrasts sharply its digital competitor who has struggled to maintain its previous gains.

Bitcoin’s significant correction

While Bitcoin peaked with $ 109,000 in January 2025, the leading cryptocurrency has since experienced a steep decline. From February 25, 2025, Bitcoin traded under $ 90,000 – representing a significant fall of 24% from its January high and marked its lowest since November 2024.

This correction raises important questions about Bitcoin’s volatility and fitness as a “digital gold” under the stress of the market.

Understanding of divergence

More key factors explain the contrasting performance of these two assets:

Factors that support gold

Demand for safe haven: In a well -known pattern observed through the monetary history, investors have again buried against gold in the midst of economic and geopolitical uncertainties. This behavior confirms Gold’s time-tested role as a stable value of value-one position it has maintained for thousands of years across countless economic cycles and political regimes.


Gold’s physical nature, the impossibility of being “hacked” or digitally compromised, zero counterparty risk and finally supply continues to make it an attractive opportunity for wealth storage in unsafe times.

Factors that challenge Bitcoin

Market Volatility: Bitcoin has been disproportionately affected by wider market sales and increased volatility in early 2025. While advocates have long promoted Bitcoin as an “improper asset”, its price movements still show sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions and the general market mood.

Security concerns: A significant theft of 1.5 billion dollars in Ether from Bybit Exchange has reintroduced concerns about the safety vulnerability associated with digital active platforms. While Bitcoin was not directly compromised, this high-profile security breach has muted enthusiasm over the cryptocurrency sector and reminded investors of counterparty risks associated with digital active custody.

Legislative uncertainty: The absence of clear legislative frames continues to shade the cryptocurrency markets. This regulatory ambiguity has contributed to the investor’s caution and institutional hesitation, especially as various jurisdictions are considering diverging approaches to cryptocurrency management.

Implications for investors

The contrasting benefit of gold and bitcoin in early 2025 offers several insights for investors:

    1. Gold’s monetary credentials: Gold’s recent performance strengthens its historical role as both a value of value and a real form of money. Unlike cryptocurrencies, gold has served as currency for thousands of years across any civilization, from ancient Egypt to the classic gold standard era.
    2. Physical scarcity vs. Programmed scarcity: Gulden’s scarcity is controlled by the laws of physics and geology, making it impossible to “print” more gold regardless of technological advances. This natural scarcity is fundamentally different from Bitcoin’s programmed scarcity, which remains vulnerable to protocol changes, forks and the creation of countless alternative cryptocurrencies.
    3. Global Liquidity and Recognition: Gold maintains unmatched global liquidity and universal recognition. It can be exchanged with local currency in virtually any country, requires no electricity or Internet access to transfer ownership and cross borders without the dependence on technological infrastructure.

Capital migration: Return to monetary basic elements

A particularly remarkable development in recent weeks has been the observable flow of capital from Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies directly to physical gold.

The “digital-to-physical” migration represents a basic reassessment of what constitutes sound money in an increasingly uncertain economic landscape.

This shift reflects a growing recognition that Gold’s 5,000-year history as a currency is not an accident, but rather proof of its superior monetary properties. Unlike digital tokens, gold demonstrates all the essentials of money:

    1. Exchange medium: Gold has facilitated trade across cultures, languages ​​and continents throughout history.
    2. Account Device: Gold’s sharing allows precise value measurement without degradation.
    3. Value of value: Gold has maintained purchasing power over millennia, while countless currencies have failed.
    4. Portability: Gold offers a high value-to-weight ratio, which makes it possible to physically transport wealth.
    5. Durability: Gold does not corrode, degrade or require maintenance to preserve its value.
    6. Fungibility: Every ounce of pure gold is identical and replaced with anyone else.
    7. Non-willing: Gold’s unique physical properties make it unusually difficult to forgery.

The current movement back to gold not only represents a tactical asset allocation, but a recognition of these basic monetary principles that have lasted through economic history.

Conclusion

As we progress to 2025, the performance gap between gold and bitcoin is a compelling reminder of the sustained relevance of precious metals in a portfolio. Despite technological innovation and the digital transformation of funding, gold continues to perform its historical role as a reliable value of value in uncertain times.

Gold’s recent better than digital assets show why the physical precious metal has endured centuries of financial upheaval and continues to act as a de facto global currency.

As a monetary metal without counterparty risk, Gold maintains its purchasing power regardless of which governments are rising or falling. Central banks around the world accumulate golden reserves precisely because of their unique status as the only form of money that is at the same time no responsibility. Unlike Fiat currencies that can be deterred through printing or digital assets that are vulnerable to technological obsolescence, Gold provides a uniform monetary unit that has retained wealth across generations.

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